Fig. 6

Probability plots of serum analytes associated with organ damage in SLE patients. The grey curve represents a simulated model based on the individual patient serum levels and the black line represents overall trend calculated by the Bayesian statistical approach. The increasing overall trend the higher probability of organ damage. Higher serum levels of CCL11 and MMP10 correspond to higher probability of organ damage, lower serum levels of these analytes to lower probability of organ damage. IL8 and IL6 serum levels were not informative for organ damage prediction